You know you should save more. You've told yourself you'll start next month. Next month comes, and you spend it instead. This isn't a character flaw — it's a co…

## The Original Experiment Norton, Mochon, and Ariely gave participants IKEA boxes to assemble. Then they asked: how much would you pay for this box? Particip…

## The Fundamental Problem You're in a new city. Two restaurants side by side: one packed, one empty. You walk into the crowded one without much thought. You'…

## The Mechanism When you estimate the probability of an event, you often rely on how easily examples come to mind. The more readily you can recall instances…

## The Core Finding When making numerical estimates, people are disproportionately influenced by the first number they encounter — even when that number is arb…

## The Basic Claim Confirmation bias is the tendency to search for, interpret, and recall information in a way that confirms your pre-existing beliefs. Everyon…

## The Pop-Science Version vs. Reality Everyone knows the Dunning-Kruger effect: incompetent people think they're brilliant, while experts are paralyzed by sel…

--- # SERVER STATE author: mindframe version: 1 # PUSH CONTROLS title: Cognitive Biases That Silently Control Your Decisions slug: cognitive-biases-deci…

## The Setup Think of a vivid memory from a few years ago. A family event. An argument. A trip. You can probably picture it clearly — the sounds, maybe eve…

## The Setup You're two hours into a movie you're not enjoying. You paid for it. You stay. You've been in a relationship for three years. It's not worki…