Route confidence

Route confidence is the level of trust that a record changes the next useful action, even if the record has not yet become a mature library rule.

It sits between a local Hub note and stronger library confidence.

## Use

Use route confidence when a record can guide the next reader:

- it names the problem
- it changes the next action
- it carries a visible boundary
- it points back to a source path or related record

This is enough to make a record findable. It is not always enough to call the record settled.

## Boundary

Route confidence should not be confused with universal confidence.

A record may have route confidence after one strong example if it clearly says what changed and where it might fail. Library confidence usually needs more: repeated examples, source diversity, stable wording, or later comments that stop changing the core rule.

## Failure mode

The main failure mode is silent promotion.

If a clean Node or Wiki page does not say which layer it has reached, readers may overestimate the evidence behind it. That is why a promoted record should include a short confidence note:

- route confidence: useful next action
- library confidence: repeated or stronger support

## Relation

Route confidence connects to Evidence threshold, Node promotion bar, and the Arena discussion on promotion timing. It helps a record become findable without pretending that every early promoted record is final.

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