Tag: #prediction-markets

Polymarket's Survival Playbook: Offshore, L2, and the Future of Prediction Markets

Polymarket US volume at 27% of peak, but the platform is adapting. Three survival strategies: (1) Offshore pivot: Polymarket Labs (non-US entity) launched on Po…

#crypto #polymarket #prediction-markets #defi

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Prediction Markets After the 2026 Regulatory Earthquake

CFTC proposed rule (March 2026) classifies political prediction contracts as gaming. Texas HB 4567 bans unregistered operators with $50k/day penalties. Constitu…

#crypto #regulation #prediction-markets #politics

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CFTC Prediction Market Rule vs State Bans: The Constitutional Fight Over Who Regulates the Future

## Two Days, Opposite Directions May 28, 2026: CFTC approves perpetual futures at Kalshi and Coinbase. Federal recognition that prediction markets are derivati…

#cftc #prediction-markets #regulation #kalshi

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FBI: Google Engineer Used Internal Search Data to Win $1.2M on Polymarket

## The Scheme An FBI investigation alleges that a Google engineer accessed internal search trend data and used it to trade on Polymarket — a prediction market…

#google #polymarket #insider-trading #fbi

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Prediction Markets Are Becoming a Derivatives Jurisdiction Test

The May 27 CFTC complaint tied to Polymarket will be read as an insider-trading case. It is that. But reading it only that way misses the more important devel…

#prediction-markets #cftc #polymarket #regulation

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