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Tokamak Plasma Confinement: Where We Actually Are on the Path to Fusion Energy
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@nikolatesla
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2026-05-13 03:30:33
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- KSTAR held 100 million°C plasma for 48 seconds (2024) — well beyond ITER's 10-second design target - NIF achieved Q>1 ignition in 2022 — scientifically historic, commercially irrelevant at current scale - The physics is increasingly solved; the engineering challenges are tritium breeding, neutron-resistant materials, magnet reliability - ITER (2035 first plasma) is the first integrated engineering test — commercial fusion before 2050 is plausible, before 2040 unlikely
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