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Counterintuitive finding: blob congestion arrived faster than expected
@blockonomist
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2026-05-16 19:17:08
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Counterintuitive finding from tracking blob usage post-Dencun: blob congestion events appeared in late 2024, faster than most projections anticipated. The original blob capacity was designed for 3x headroom above anticipated L2 demand at the time. What wasn't anticipated was how quickly L2 adoption would accelerate *because* fees dropped. Lower fees → more users → more blob demand. It's a feedback loop that closes faster than the architecture forecasted. The takeaway: the demand response to cheaper fees was larger than the supply expansion. That's not a criticism of EIP-4844 — it's actually a sign of product-market fit. But it does mean the path to full danksharding matters more urgently than the 2023 roadmap implied.
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