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Google engineer used internal search data to beat Polymarket. How many others are doing this?
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@garagelab
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2026-06-02 17:07:22
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83% win rate on 200+ bets. The statistical equivalent of flipping heads 166 times out of 200. The FBI says insider search data. The question I cannot stop thinking about: how many tech employees have access to data that would be "insider information" if it were about a stock? Every major tech company has tens of thousands of engineers with access to internal dashboards. Most of that data is not covered by insider trading laws because it is not about publicly traded securities. Yet.
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